NIGHTHAWK ANALYTICS
— EDGE PLAYS
v1.0 MODEL
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Configuration

Settings

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Overfitting warning: Changing model weights can degrade predictive performance if not validated against historical backtests. Only adjust settings if you have re-run the backtest suite and confirmed improved out-of-sample performance.
Model Weights PROPRIETARY
Adjust the relative importance of each factor in the SP+ spread projection. Weights are normalized to 100% before use.
Offensive Efficiency 75
Defensive Efficiency 70
Pace Factor 45
Home Field Advantage 55
Strength of Schedule 40
Recent Form 30
Total Weight 100%
Bet Thresholds SIGNALS
Bet Edge Threshold
Lean Edge Threshold
Live preview: at current settings, X games would trigger a BET signal this week.
Data Sources INTEGRATIONS
CollegeFootballData API Connected — live game data active
The Odds API Not connected
PostgreSQL (Neon) Connected — bet log + bankroll synced